Rueben ChinyeluBIG · NGR7′7.75″
2KMKhaman MaluachBIG · SSD7′6.75″
3TSThomas SorberFORWARD · USA7′6″
2024
Two seasons in — where the model was right and wrong.
2023
Career trajectories against pre-draft expectation.
2022
Four years of NBA outcomes for the full class.
2021
The longest outcome record in the database.
Draft evaluation is a comparison problem. The useful question is not how a prospect performed in isolation, but how his production, age and physical profile stack up against the players who were drafted before him — and what happened to those players afterwards.
Every prospect carries a Draft Ceiling Score built from percentile components (shooting, playmaking, athleticism, physical upside) and a star probability from a model trained on past draft classes and their actual NBA outcomes. The class pages let you check that model against reality, year by year. Read the full methodology →